The touch of winter is now in the air. No doubt about it, winter is on the minds of everybody.
Living in Wisconsin it’s no question that once the calendar flips to November, snow, and yes, bitter cold is not too far off.
“You can feel the change in the air,” said Chief Meteorologist, Luke Sampe. “October was just warm for two-thirds of the month, and just like that now we’ve clicked into what feels like it should be this time of year.”
It’s this time of year that NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center comes out with it’s annual winter outlook.
You may recall last year the talk of the El Nino winter. This year, using observations of pacific ocean waters and advanced computer modeling, they suggest a La Nina winter is likely to develop.
“They have climate models in there, climatology which is really looking at setups in the past and trying to compare them to what is happening right now,” said Sampe.
In your average La Nina winter, the Great Lakes region sees greater than average snowfall. According to the Climate Prediction Center, more snow will fall this season in Wisconsin.
On the thermometer this year, the forecast is not leaning one way or the other. They predict equal chances for above and below normal temperatures in the Badger state.
Although long-rang forecasts like this are fun to think about, keep in mind, this is just an educated guess based on trends and records from previous years. It also does not predict major cold snaps and snowstorms which tend to throw off the forecast.
According to Sampe, “At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to discern exactly what type of winter you’re going to have.”